STATS PREVIEW: Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls – 30.11.2024

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Drink it in and savour the moment, folks! Orlando City SC have reached their first-ever Eastern Conference Final. This is all thanks to last Sunday’s well-deserved 1-0 victory over fierce rivals Atlanta United. On a historic night to remember at Inter&Co Stadium, the Lions needed no luck to send The Five Stripes packing. Holding our nerve, we delivered a statement performance that put the ‘L’ in Atlanta. It was a landmark triumph that sent a clear message to the rest of Major League Soccer – “We ready”! Bless Atlanta United’s hearts because deep down, they know we are the true football kings of the Southeastern United States!

The type of night that doesn’t come around too often, last Sunday helped cap what was undoubtedly the best-ever weekend in Orlando’s sporting legacy. Last Saturday, Orlando Pride made history, triumphantly winning the 2024 NWSL Championship with a gritty 1-0 victory over Washington Spirit in Kansas City. This followed their 2024 NWSL Shield win just 48 days earlier. Being the first professional team to win a major league title for The City Beautiful, the Pride set the tone for Orlando City SC’s own historic 1-0 victory the next evening. Considering Barbra Banda (37 minutes) and Ramiro Enrique’s (39 minutes) goals were just two minutes apart – across the same weekend – perhaps the stars are truly aligning? Could 2024 be the year where Orlando Pride and Orlando City SC BOTH win U.S. Soccer’s biggest domestic prizes? We sure hope it pans out this way!

While City’s 1-0 scoreline may not sound commanding, the Lions’ performance against Atlanta United was super mature. We were hungry, controlled, and virtually untroubled throughout the entire 90+7 minutes. Orlando City SC were so composed and determined that you had to wonder: was this really the same Atlanta United team that had just shaken MLS by eliminating Lionel Messi and Inter Miami? As you know, Orlando always welcomes tourists, and for the travelling Atlanta United supporters scattered around Inter&Co Stadium, we hope they enjoyed their latest visit to the Sunshine State! Now, having finally navigated our way through our third-ever Eastern Conference Semi-Final, Orlando City SC are just 180+ minutes away from the ultimate prize: 2024 MLS Cup glory!

With Inter Miami (#1 in East), defending MLS Cup champions Columbus Crew (#2 in East), and Los Angeles FC (#1 in West) already eliminated, we’ll never have a better opportunity to win MLS Cup – plain and simple! It truly has been one of, if not the most unpredictable MLS Cup Playoffs of all-time. Next up though, the Lions face Sandro Schwarz’s New York Red Bulls. While many favourites have already fallen, Red Bulls are still a top-quality, tough opponent, and can never be taken lightly. Playing the gritty Red Bulls way, their super high press, intensity, and tactical versatility make them a dangerous opponent, season in and season out. Should we prevail, the reward is monumental – a trip out west to battle either LA Galaxy or Seattle Sounders in 2024 MLS Cup itself. Having now gone further than any other Orlando City SC side has before, this is the moment we’ve all been waiting for – so let’s make it count!

But before we can start dreaming of 2024 MLS Cup glory, we must focus on contesting our first-ever Eastern Conference Final. Frankly, New York Red Bulls are the unluckiest team in Major League Soccer history! A founding member of MLS in 1996, Red Bulls (formerly NY/NJ MetroStars) have made the playoffs an incredible TWENTY-FOUR TIMES, yet have never managed to win a single MLS Cup! Despite being one of the most decorated and consistent teams in the league, MLS Cup has become their ultimate kryptonite! Almost three decades later, they’re still chasing that elusive title that continues to slip through their fingers. Sure, they are here yet again, tantalisingly close – but still, the weight of nearly 30 years of heartbreak hangs heavy over this team. Could history repeat itself? Let’s ensure it does!

An inconvenient truth for New York Red Bulls and their passionate Viking Army supporters’ group, their playoff bitterness peaked three years ago. Indeed, watching their fierce Hudson River Derby rivals, New York City FC, lift the 2021 MLS Cup just six seasons into their existence must’ve been a bitter pill to swallow. The contrast couldn’t be sharper. NYCFC achieved ultimate glory early on into their existence, while Red Bulls’ trophy cabinet still lacks the league’s biggest prize. Genuinely, it feels as if the Red Bulls are quite simply cursed, with their playoff fortunes plagued by some unseen force of witchcraft!

When you take a closer look at how many times they’ve fallen short – as we detail later in this blog – the sheer scale of Red Bulls’ heartbreak becomes crystal clear. It’s a tragic tale that’s spanned nearly three decades, but what do we care about them? They’re standing in our way, and must now be eliminated. Despite their demons, New York Red Bulls will be more determined than ever to right past wrongs, so we’ll have to bring our A-game to advance to our first-ever MLS Cup. The Lions are on a mission, and nothing short of victory will do. Coming so far this year, Orlando City SC have battled early year adversity, showing resilience and determination to cement our place among the Eastern Conference’s elite. This isn’t any old 90+ or 120+ minutes. Quite simply, it’s the biggest MLS game in Orlando City SC’s history! Let’s show the world that we’re #AllTeeth and ready to make 2024 the year we finally conquer MLS! LFG. Vamos Orlando!

Last time out

Last Sunday, on a sun-soaked Central Florida evening, Orlando City SC delivered a ‘Papi special’ for the ages!

In a rare daytime clash, a raucous, sold-out crowd packed into our pirate ship.

We were ready to unleash a wall of noise and give our bitter rivals hell!

Roaring to a historic 1-0 victory over Atlanta United, the Lions secured their place in the club’s first-ever Eastern Conference Final.

On the day, Orlando City SC showcased the perfect blend of aggression, creativity, and tactical discipline.

It was a defensive masterclass, a clinic in control, and a fitting performance to send our loathed Georgia rivals packing!

From the opening whistle, the Lions roared into action, spurred on by a fervent home crowd.

On just 2 minutes, Rafael Santos set the tone for Orlando City SC’s attacking intent.

His dangerous left-footed cross found Facundo Torres, but the Uruguayan couldn’t quite steady himself, sending his header over Brad Guzan’s crossbar.

Just three minutes later, Martín Ojeda showcased his determination.

Racing away from Saba Lobjanidze, he charged dangerously into Atlanta United’s half.

Spotting Iván Angulo rampaging down the left wing, Ojeda played a quick one-two, collecting the return ball near The Five Stripes’ byline before whipping a tantalising cross through the penalty area.

The ball evaded every blue shirt until it reached an unmarked Dagur Dan Thórhallsson at Brad Guzan’s back post.

The crowd erupted with cries of “Shoot! Shoot!” as the Icelander looked destined to break the deadlock.

Trapping the ball with his left foot, Thórhallsson unleashed a shot that agonisingly rattled Brad Guzan’s left-hand post.

Guzan’s acrobatic star jump save did just enough to deflect the ball onto the woodwork.

As the ball pinballed out, it fell to Ramiro Enrique with Atlanta United’s goal at his mercy.

His low strike looked certain to find the back of the net.

But incredibly, a last-ditch goal-line clearance by Saba Lobjanidze denied the Lions an early opener, leaving our home crowd stunned.

Orlando City SC’s early dominance would continue.

A Ramiro Enrique header forced Brad Guzan into his first save from the game’s first corner on 10 minutes.

And just four minutes later, Robin Jansson executed a perfectly-timed, full-blooded last ditch challenge on Saba Lobjanidze, right in front of The Wall.

The crunching tackle earned thunderous applause from the Ruckus and Iron Lion Firm, reverberating across the stadium like a rallying cry.

This was more than just a tackle – it was a statement!

It symbolised the Lions’ unwavering hunger, fight, and determination to right the wrongs of the past and finally triumph in an Eastern Conference Semi-Final.

With our sold-out home crowd in full voice, Orlando City SC would stay resolute in their mission to deliver a historic victory.

However, as the first-half progressed, Atlanta United began finding their rhythm, briefly unsettling Orlando City SC’s control.

At times, albeit rarely, Jamal Thiaré looked a threat in transition.

Especially when drawing a tactical foul from Wilder Cartagena on 27 minutes.

Somehow, Cartagena escaped a yellow card from referee Armando Villarreal.

I’ll admit, the often-carded Cartagena definitely got away with one here.

Don’t get me wrong, I was relieved that Wilder avoided a yellow early on.

This allowed him to maintain his aggressive pressing throughout the game.

But let’s be real – this particular foul deserved a yellow, and we all breathed a huge sigh of relief when Villarreal opted not to show it.

The Cartagena / Thiaré flashpoint definitely ignited the ill-feelings in this rivalry fixture, with both teams’ desire to win clearly written on the players’ faces.

On 34 minutes, the game’s physicality ramped up.

Pedro Gallese charged out of his goal, leaping to Facundo Torres’ defence after a rough forearm smash to the back of the head from Luis Abram.

This act of aggression sparked tensions on the field.

Considering Gallese and Abram are international team-mates with Peru, El Pulpo likely knows all about Abram’s dark arts firsthand.

Despite Atlanta United’s growing involvement, Orlando City SC maintained their composure, and their persistence finally paid off on 39 minutes.

It all began just a minute earlier when Rafael Santos flicked a neat through ball to Martín Ojeda down the left wing.

With Tincho wrapping his foot around a left-footed cross, the ball deflected off Stian Gregersen but appeared to stay in play.

At this point, we all thought Brad Guzan would easily collect the ball.

But under relentless pressure from the ever-busy Ramiro Enrique, his jump caused Guzan to fumble the ball, with Atlanta United conceding a corner in turn.

Guzan would’ve collected the ball calmly had it not been for Enrique’s selfless persistence, always chasing down lost causes and fighting for every yard.

And as fate would have it, it was from the resulting corner kick that Orlando City SC took the lead.

After Martín Ojeda whipped his corner into Brad Guzan’s box, the ball evaded the sea of Atlanta United bodies and reached Ramiro Enrique.

The Argentine quickly chested the ball down before lunging low to score from point-blank range (1-0).

Not only was Enrique the architect of the corner.

He also finished it off, marking his first-ever playoff goal for Orlando City SC.

What a time to score it!

Wheeling away with both arms wide in front of the Legends’ Terrace, Enrique’s goal ignited delirium in the stands.

The smatterings of travelling Atlanta United supporters mixed in with home purple could only gurn in frustration.

Atlanta United had conceded 13 goals from set pieces during the 2024 MLS regular season.

And yet again, this remained their Achilles’ heel!

Ultimately, Ramiro Enrique’s relentless pressing paid off, and his goal gave the Lions a well-deserved lead, firmly putting Orlando City SC in control.

Enrique’s tireless running and selfless commitment have earned him the role of first choice centre forward under Oscar Pareja, limiting both Duncan McGuire and Luis Muriel to cameo roles for quite some time now.

Indeed, last Sunday was Ramiro Enrique’s eighth consecutive MLS start up top.

As Atlanta United scrambled for a response, Jamal Thiaré’s injury from his earlier collision with Wilder Cartagena forced him off the field.

At this point, things were starting to unravel for The Five Stripes, and fast!

For several minutes, Thiaré tried to run off his injury, limping around the pitch in a bid to stay in the game.

However, on 43 minutes, Rob Valentino made the decision to substitute the Senegalese forward, bringing on Daniel Ríos.

The sight of Thiaré in tears on the touchline was a stark image.

It highlighted Atlanta United’s mounting pressure with things clearly not going their way.

With four minutes of first-half stoppage time added, Iván Angulo had a chance to double Orlando City SC’s advantage.

Surging forward, Angulo used his blistering roadrunner pace to leave Bartosz Slisz behind.

But his weak shot was comfortably saved by Brad Guzan.

By the half-time whistle, Orlando City SC had showcased an inspired blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity.

The Lions were aggressive, yet controlled, effectively limiting Atlanta United’s offensive threat and nullifying danger men Saba Lobjanidze and Alexey Miranchuk.

Despite their reputation for being super dangerous counter-attacking team, The Five Stripes couldn’t muster a single shot on target in the first-half.

This was a clear testament to Orlando City SC’s dominance and defensive resilience.

Our mature first-half performance had you questioning, was this really the team that had just knocked out Inter Miami and Lionel Messi?

Ultimately, Orlando City SC took charge from the start, dictating the pace and proving they were more than capable of handling the pressure in this high-stakes playoff battle.

Scoring the first goal is always crucial in knockout matches of this magnitude, and Ramiro Enrique’s timely opener gave Orlando City SC the momentum they needed to push on in the second-half.

Buoyed by our lead, Oscar Pareja’s side knew that they were just 45 minutes away from creating history and reaching our first-ever Eastern Conference Final.

But we still only held a slender one-goal advantage, with anything being possible in the second-half.

From kick-off, just three seconds after the restart, Martín Ojeda accidentally blasted the ball straight into the face of Jamal Thiaré’s replacement, Daniel Ríos.

The impact left the Mexican striker concussed, and after a brief delay, Atlanta United had to withdraw Ríos from the match.

As a result, Rob Valentino was forced to reshuffle his tactics, with no more attacking options left on the bench for The Five Stripes.

This was yet another blow for Atlanta United who were starting to feel beaten down and crestfallen.

With Valentino forced to turn to Venezuelan international right back Ronald Hernández, he ended up replacing Ríos.

In turn, Saba Lobjanidze shifted into a centre forward role after spending the first-half as a right wing-back.

This tactical change actually paid off for Atlanta United.

Largely ineffective in the first-half, Lobjanidze became a more pacy and dangerous threat when moved up top.

His shift to the central attacking position caused a greater challenge for Orlando City SC’s defence.

Culminating in Atlanta United showing more attacking intent after half-time, Alexey Miranchuk blasted a deflected effort into Pedro Gallese’s side netting on 51 minutes.

Shortly into the second-half, Apple TV commentator Max Bretos noted that Orlando City SC needed to learn how to close out playoff games – and he was absolutely right.

As the game progressed, Atlanta United worryingly began to take the initiative, becoming the more assertive side.

Orlando City SC, however, remained cautious yet determined.

We understood that a second ‘killer’ goal could ease the mounting pressure and settle our nerves.

Despite Atlanta United’s resurgence, the Lions held firm, fully aware that this match was theirs to finish if they could land that crucial second goal.

On 57 minutes, the Lions came close to securing that vital second goal when Ramiro Enrique’s header off a Martín Ojeda corner sailed just over Brad Guzan’s bar.

Just two minutes later, the game’s feisty nature flared up once again.

Derrick Williams made a reckless, late, lunging challenge on Ramiro Enrique.

The Irishman dangerously swept the Argentine off his feet, sparking outrage from Orlando City SC players and fans alike.

Despite Williams’ clear aggression, referee Armando Villarreal only issued a yellow card rather than a red.

This decision stunned many, given the intensity of the challenge.

Remarkably, this was the first foul of the match that warranted a yellow card, emphasising Villarreal’s lenient approach to what was already a fiercely contested game.

Highlighted by Apple TV’s Brian Dunseth, The Wall’s relentless energy was a driving force that spurred Orlando City SC on as Inter&Co Stadium became engulfed in shadow by 64 minutes.

Arguably the loudest Inter&Co Stadium has ever been, Ricardo Moreira captured the moment perfectly with his tweet.

From the press box, he couldn’t resist sharing an image of his Apple Watch alerting him to a ‘Loud Environment’ as sound levels soared to 90 decibels.

On 66 minutes, Iván Angulo’s tenacious pursuit of Ronald Hernández in a tight area epitomised the Lions’ hunger and determination.

Angulo’s refusal to relent against Hernández perfectly mirrored the gritty attitude of the entire Orlando City SC squad.

It was a clear reflection of Oscar Pareja’s own battle-hardened mentality – one that emphasises persistence and a never-say-die spirit.

Papi’s influence is unmistakably written all over this team!

In typical fashion, Pareja then turned to his tried and trusted second-half substitution pattern.

On 68 minutes, Duncan McGuire and Luis Muriel were introduced to add fresh legs in attack, replacing both Ramiro Enrique and Martín Ojeda.

McGuire provided a physical presence up top while Muriel injected creative flair just in behind.

As City made their changes, Atlanta United subbed off Winter Park native Dax McCarty for Xande Silva.

For McCarty, it was a poignant moment – possibly his final steps on a soccer pitch as he stared his pre-planned retirement square in the face.

While he’s been an opposition enemy over the years, we wish Dax all the best in this next chapter after his distinguished 18-year career in Major League Soccer.

The intensity of the game was epitomised on 79 minutes.

Iván Angulo and Rob Valentino both battled for possession along the near touchline, each adamant that a throw-in should go their team’s way.

Seconds later, Papi brought on Kyle Smith and Nicolás Lodeiro for Dagur Dan Thórhallsson and Iván Angulo.

These changes reinforced Orlando City SC’s midfield while bolstering our defensive stability.

This shift allowed the Lions to solidify their control of the game, protecting the lead while remaining compact and organised.

These calculated changes helped Orlando City SC maintain their edge in the match’s later moments.

Honestly, the quality and experience provided by this quartet are a testament to the exceptional roster building undertaken by Luiz Muzzi and Ricardo Moreira this year.

The depth Orlando City SC now have in 2024 is undoubtedly our best-ever.

Ultimately, we now have seasoned players in reserve to provide the perfect balance of control and defensive stability when it matters most.

As the clock ticked down, Orlando City SC stood firm.

We easily absorbed Atlanta United’s final pushes, maintaining the intensity required to protect Pedro Gallese’s goal.

With a ‘Papi special’ mentality of ‘what we have, we hold’, the Lions delivered a defensive masterclass.

We showcased hard-fought resilience and discipline to see the game through to the end.

And don’t get me wrong.

I still felt nervy entering the final stages, knowing we were still clinging to a slender one-goal lead.

But a sense of reassurance came from that we seemed to have learned from past playoff mistakes.

This time, we kept our heads, maintained control, and avoided the rash, reckless moments that had previously cost us in post-seasons of old.

There was a clear sense of maturity on the field and top-quality game management off it.

In other words, a collective understanding that staying disciplined was key to closing out this historic match.

This poise and composure was typified by Robin Jansson on 76 minutes.

On a night when Jansson made history as the first Orlando City SC player to reach 200 career appearances across all competitions, our Swedish Viking showed immense composure in a pivotal moment.

As Saba Lobjanidze surged down the right wing at full speed, it seemed like Jansson might dive in with one of his trademark last-ditch tackles.

But aware that a mistimed challenge could result in a red card, Jansson held his ground, opting for precision rather than reckless aggression.

It’s these types of smart, disciplined decisions that were emblematic of Orlando City SC’s performance throughout the evening.

The team demonstrated a newfound maturity, avoiding past pitfalls of overzealous challenges.

Ultimately, we kept our heads when it mattered most – even more important in the high-stakes environment of post-season play.

Rodrigo Schlegel showcased his growth and maturity in this crucial match, barely putting a foot wrong all game.

His performance underlined how far he has come since his red card that compounded Orlando City SC’s defeat to Columbus Crew (0-2 A.E.T.) in last year’s Eastern Conference Semi-Final.

During the final four minutes of regulation time, a speculative effort from Wilder Cartagena and a near-miss from Facundo Torres hinted at a second ‘killer’ goal, but it never came.

On 84 minutes, a wave of anxiety swept through Inter&Co Stadium when Xande Silva went down inside City’s box.

After tussling with Kyle Smith, Silva threw himself to the ground, sparking fear throughout a super nervous home crowd.

For a brief moment, it seemed like a penalty might be in the cards.

However, after a brief pause and a fair share of nail biting, referee Armando Villarreal waved off Atlanta United’s strong appeals.

Villarreal determined that Silva had sought the contact, while Smith had maintained his ground.

While the tense moment passed, the job wasn’t done just yet.

Orlando City SC still had work to do, knowing they were only a matter of minutes away from a famous victory.

With seven minutes of agonising stoppage time announced, Oscar Pareja made his final tactical move.

Papi brought on Slovenian international David Brekalo for Rafael Santos to shore up our defence and see out the game.

Yet again, Pareja stuck to his familiar second-half substitution pattern that has served him well throughout this post-season.

Ultimately, he’s placed his full faith in the changes that have proved successful in previous matches.

As the seven minutes ticked down, Orlando City SC navigated the remaining time with calm authority.

The packed crowd inside Inter&Co Stadium erupted in jubilation as Armando Villarreal’s full-time whistle blew, signalling a historic victory.

The noise from the stands was deafening!

It was a fitting conclusion to a hard-fought, well-earned win.

The full-time stats painted a clear picture of Orlando City SC’s dominance over Atlanta United.

With the teams tied 50% – 50% in possession, the Lions outshot The Five Stripes 14 to 8, and had a slight edge in corners (5 to 4).

But the most telling statistic was that Atlanta United FAILED TO REGISTER A SINGLE SHOT ON TARGET throughout the entire match!

That says it all, right?

Holding firm to record a historic 1-0 victory over our rivals, Orlando City SC had just clinched a place in their first-ever Eastern Conference Final.

It’s a remarkable achievement for a team that many had pegged as strong contenders for 2024 MLS Cup from the outset of the season.

However, our path to the final four has not been without its challenges.

After a difficult first half of the year, the Lions have shown tremendous resilience and growth.

Sure, we have taken a scenic route to success, but we’re in the final four – and that’s all that matters!

Ultimately, our 1-0 Eastern Conference Semi-Final win over Atlanta United epitomised immense grit and determination.

Staying true to our playoff motto #AllTeeth, our never-say-die spirit has defined our 2024 playoff run.

Having already witnessed higher seeds fall in the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs – opening up amore favourable path to the title – Orlando City SC held their nerve when it mattered most.

Last Sunday’s triumph marked a truly satisfying moment in Orlando City SC history.

Fittingly, it took place during our 10th anniversary season in Major League Soccer too.

Additionally, the timing of Orlando City SC’s historic victory was made even more special.

Especially considering Orlando Pride’s triumph under 24 hours earlier.

Under 2024 NWSL Coach of the Year, Seb Hines, the Pride secured a 1-0 win over Washington Spirit to clinch the 2024 NWSL Championship.

This capped off a remarkable season that included winning the 2024 NWSL Shield just 48 days prior.

For me, it was the best-ever weekend in Orlando sports history.

After all, Orlando Pride’s historic win marked the first-ever major league title for a professional Orlando-based sports team.

Imagine the scenes if Orlando City SC were to go on to win the 2024 MLS Cup as well.

What an extraordinary year that would be!

The possibility of a double celebration could create a truly unforgettable legacy for Orlando sports fans.

Last time out: Our reaction

Last head-to-head

Orlando City SC last faced New York Red Bulls at Red Bull Arena on June 1, with the Lions losing 1-0 in Harrison, New Jersey.

A really disappointing performance bereft of quality, City didn’t land in New Jersey until 2am on gameday due to plane issues.

Finally arriving at our team hotel by 3am, these circumstances were far from ideal, but that still wasn’t an excuse.

On a bright spring night, Oscar Pareja went with a 3-1-4-2 formation after deploying a 3-4-2-1 at Chicago Fire.

The experiment of using three centre backs began with our 2-3 victory at Philadelphia Union on May 11, and at the time, it looked like this defensive setup was here to stay.

Duncan McGuire made his return from a shoulder injury sustained against San Jose Earthquakes, starting the match in place of Luis Muriel.

However, McGuire was withdrawn at half-time, with Muriel coming on to replace him.

As expected, New York Red Bulls started the game on the front foot in typical high energy fashion.

Only seven minutes in, Pedro Gallese had to be on his toes to palm away a dangerous Noah Eile header off a Red Bulls corner.

Indeed, New York Red Bulls always posed a significant threat from corners and free-kicks.

On the night, many of their players towered over those of Orlando City SC.

While we saw Gallese’s brilliance early on, unfortunately, we witnessed his worst on 38 minutes.

Just four days prior at Chicago Fire, he spilled a tame shot from Hugo Cuypers right through his fingertips – an equaliser that effectively cost us all three points.

In the first-half at Red Bull Arena, Gallese set up his wall incorrectly.

This allowed John Tolkin’s long-range free-kick to get past him.

Probably expecting Emil Forsberg to take the free-kick, Gallese second-guessed his setup.

Ultimately, he couldn’t return to his near post quickly enough, leaving him to pick Tolkin’s strike out of the back of his net.

Looking back, it was soft the way in which Lewis Morgan won John Tolkin his free-kick.

But we still should’ve defended the play much better.

Heading into half-time 1-0 down, Orlando City SC embarrassingly only managed just one shot attempt in the first-half, being out-shot seven to one.

Taking immediate action at half-time, Oscar Pareja subbed out Dagur Dan Thórhallsson and Duncan McGuire for Ramiro Enrique and Luis Muriel.

Despite switching personnel, it was John Tolkin who unleashed another fierce strike from range on 58 minutes.

With absolutely no pressure on the ball from the Lions, the strike proved too hot to handle for Gallese.

El Pulpo spilled it right into the path of Dante Vanzeir who headed the rebound over the bar.

On 71 minutes, substitute Elias Manoel thought he’d doubled Red Bulls’ advantage by blasting a strike past Pedro Gallese.

However, referee Drew Fischer had already blown his whistle for a foul on Iván Angulo by John Tolkin.

With replays showing that Tolkin tugged Angulo in the build-up, it was the right call for sure.

Time seemed to pass twice as fast in this game.

This reflected the desperation of Orlando City SC supporters to witness any legitimate attacking threat from the Lions.

At this sorry stage of our campaign, City seemed incapable of getting shots away.

In truth, Carlos Coronel barely tested all evening in the Red Bulls goal.

In the final 15 minutes, it was a case of ‘what we have, we hold’ from New York Red Bulls.

Sandro Schwarz’s side sat on their one-goal advantage, given how feeble Orlando City SC’s attempts to equalise were.

Easily navigating ten minutes of second-half stoppage time, New York Red Bulls saw their 1-0 lead out.

In truth, City supporters were probably glad for a two-week international break by the full-time whistle.

Thank heavens we have improved tenfold since this game!

What’s at stake this time?

This is it!

Orlando City SC are just one game away from reaching their first-ever MLS Cup Final.

With Inter Miami (#1 in East), defending MLS Cup champions Columbus Crew (#2 in East), and Los Angeles FC (#1 in West) already eliminated from contention, this is the perfect opportunity for Orlando City SC to go all the way and win the 2024 MLS Cup!

Our path is clear, and the timing couldn’t be better.

So, why not us? And why not now?

Considering Orlando City SC have conceded just one goal in six hours of playoff soccer, maybe this is our year?

IMG Arena still have LA Galaxy (+135) as favourites to win MLS Cup.

Orlando City SC (+175) are now second favourites, with Seattle Sounders (+450) third and New York Red Bulls (+500) fourth.

As fourth seeds in the East, Orlando City SC have already defied expectations – living up to an old City motto.

We’ve secured crucial home field advantage for the Eastern Conference Final against seventh seed New York Red Bulls, who have made their own remarkable run to get here.

But regular season standings only matter so much at this stage – it’s all about what happens now on the field.

What matters is our ability to perform on the day, especially with a home crowd behind us at Inter&Co Stadium.

After a period of austerity, the Lions have made Inter&Co Stadium a fortress again.

So now is the time to make it count.

We don’t know when we’ll be back at this stage again, so it’s time to execute when it matters most.

Should we advance to 2024 MLS Cup on December 7, Orlando City SC will be playing away, no matter what.

Los Angeles Galaxy (#2 in West) and Seattle Sounders (#4 in West) both finished above the Lions in the final 2024 MLS Supporters’ Shield standings.

This means a MLS Cup Final at Inter&Co Stadium is no longer possible.

The only scenario where we could’ve hosted MLS Cup was if Minnesota United (#6 in the West) reached the final.

However, they were emphatically beaten 6-2 by LA Galaxy in the Western Conference Semi-Final on November 24.

Unfortunately, the window for MLS Cup in Central Florida has now been closed.

As for New York Red Bulls, they’ve proven they belong in this moment.

Red Bulls reached the Eastern Conference Final after defeating cross-town rivals New York City FC 0-2 at Citi Field on November 23.

Felipe Carballo’s stunning first-half strike and Dante Vanzeir’s poacher’s goal secured a memorable upset in The Bronx.

Alongside Yankee Stadium, Citi Field has the smallest field dimensions of any venue in MLS.

These tight confines tend to offer NYCFC a significant home field advantage, as their ability to play a possession-based game is often restricted by the smaller pitch size.

The limited space encourages more direct, high-pressing styles of play from opposing teams.

This can lead to faster-paced, more intense matches.

This is an aspect that Danny Higginbotham highlighted during his Apple TV commentary during Red Bulls’ 0-2 victory.

He noted that the tight field actually played to New York Red Bulls’ strengths.

Red Bulls were able to exploit the smaller dimensions by forcing NYCFC into uncomfortable situations with their high press, limiting the home side’s ability to build out of the back.

Under first-year coach Sandro Schwarz, Red Bulls are absolutely starving for MLS glory.

Especially after contesting TWENTY-FOUR unfruitful campaigns in the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs – yes, TWENTY-FOUR!

MLS Cup is quite simply the holy grail title that has somehow evaded one of MLS’s most decorated teams since NY/NJ MetroStars (New York Red Bulls) helped found Major League Soccer during its 1996 inaugural season.

The closest New York Red Bulls came to ultimate glory was back in the 2008 MLS Cup.

But goals from Alejandro Moreno, Chad Marshall, and Frankie Hejduk saw Columbus Crew triumph 3-1 over Red Bulls at Home Depot Center in Carson, California.

If Sandro Schwarz could win it this year, he would become an instant legend for the New Jersey side.

For New York Red Bulls, the huge elephant in the room is the fact that their Hudson River Derby rivals New York City FC already have an MLS Cup title to their name.

This was the 2021 MLS Cup when The Pigeons defeated Portland Timbers 1-1 (2-4 on penalties A.E.T.) at Providence Park.

Considering NYCFC scooped their first MLS Cup just six seasons into their MLS history, the fact Red Bulls are still waiting for their first MLS Cup after TWENTY-EIGHT years must cut incredibly deep!

Heck, it’s bad enough that our rivals Atlanta United scooped the 2018 MLS Cup in only their second-ever MLS season, while we still wait.

But our wait is nothing compared to the pain that New York Red Bulls fans must feel!

But less about them, because 2024 has to be the year where it is our time to shine!

Orlando City SC are more than capable of ending New York Red Bulls’ 2024 run.

I know what you’re thinking; New York Red Bulls went undefeated against Orlando City SC this 2024 MLS regular season.

But games against Red Bulls are always ultra tactical, tight affairs.

An evenly-matched MLS series, Orlando City SC have gone 8-3-10 against the New Jersey side in the league since 2015.

Draws are a rarity in this matchup, and there has to be a winner anyway!

Frankly, the entire New York Red Bulls organisation is engulfed in past pain and anguish regarding MLS Cup.

It has ultimately become an obsession for them.

This must weight heavy on the organisation’s mind, even in 2024.

For me, they must be the unluckiest team in Major League Soccer history.

To go TWENTY-EIGHT years in anything without succeeding is downright awful.

Just look at how post-seasons have ended in misery for New York Red Bulls (formerly NY/NJ MetroStars) since 1996.

New York Red Bulls (formerly NY/NJ MetroStars) – MLS Cup Playoffs record since 1996

YEAR ROUND VS. W-L RESULTS
1996 SF D.C. United Loss 2-2 (5-6 pens), 1-0, 2-1
1998 SF Columbus Crew Loss 5-3, 1-1 (3-2 pens)
2000 QF Dallas Burn Win 2-1†, 2-1
2000 SF Chicago Fire Loss 3-0, 0-2
2001 QF LA Galaxy Loss 1-1, 1-4, 3-2†
2003 SF New England Revolution Loss 2-0, 1-1
2004 SF D.C. United Loss 2-0, 2-0
2005 SF New England Revolution Loss 0-1, 3-1
2006 SF D.C. United Loss 1, 0, 1-1
2007 SF New England Revolution Loss 0-0, 0-1
2008 SF Houston Dynamo Win 1-1, 0-3
2008 CF Real Salt Lake Win 1-0
2008 MLS Cup Columbus Crew Loss 3-1
2010 SF San Jose Earthquakes Loss 1-0, 1-3
2011 Play-In FC Dallas Win 0-2
2011 SF LA Galaxy Loss 1-0, 2-1
2012 SF D.C. United Loss 1-1, 1-0
2013 SF Houston Dynamo Loss 2-2, 1-2
2014 R1 Sporting Kansas City Win 2-1
2014 SF D.C. United Win 0-2, 2-1
2014 CF New England Revolution Loss 1-2, 2-2
2015 SF D.C. United Win 0-1, 0-1
2015 CF Columbus Crew Loss 2-0, 0-1
2016 SF Montreal Impact Loss 1-0, 2-1
2017 R1 Chicago Fire Win 0-4
2017 SF Toronto FC Loss 1-2, 1-0*
2018 SF Columbus Crew Win 1-0, 0-3
2018 CF Atlanta United Loss 3-0, 0-1
2019 R1 Philadelphia Union Loss 4-3^
2020 R1 Columbus Crew Loss 3-2
2021 R1 Philadelphia Union Loss 1-0
2022 R1 FC Cincinnati Loss 1-2
2023 Wild Card Match Charlotte FC Win 5-2
2023 R1 FC Cincinnati Loss 3-0, 1-1^ (8-7 pens)
2024 R1 Columbus Crew Win 0-1, 2-2^ (4-5 pens)
2024 SF New York City FC Win 0-2

Key

R1 – Round One

QF – Conference Quarter-Final

SF – Conference Semi-Final

CF – Conference Final

* Away goals rule

^ After extra-time (A.E.T.)

† Added sudden death extra-time (game tie-breaker)

With such an unlucky historical record, surely Orlando City SC must be licking their lips and fancying their chances?

Just like we did against Atlanta United, Orlando City SC must be bold, focused, and disciplined. We can’t afford to let rash decisions, hot-headedness, or red cards ruin our momentum like in post-seasons of old.

This is a historic chance for Orlando City SC to reach MLS Cup – so let’s go for it!

We’re in the final four, at home, and we have the chance to make MLS Cup history.

Let’s go all out for this win and get within striking distance of lifting that elusive Philip F. Anschutz Trophy and getting that fabled first star above our Orlando City SC club crest.

Opposition danger men

When it comes to New York Red Bulls danger men, attacking midfielder Emil Forsberg undoubtedly tops the list.

The the 90-cap Swedish international has enjoyed an exceptional debut season in Harrison, New Jersey.

He’s seamlessly transitioned into Major League Soccer and quickly established himself as a pivotal figure in Sandro Schwarz’s squad.

Forsberg’s creativity, vision, and knack for delivering in key moments have revitalised the Red Bulls’ attacking play.

A Designated Player wearing #10, Emil Forsberg has been the Red Bulls’ biggest signing in quite some time.

Ultimately, he’s been a throwback to marquee additions of old.

Joining from RB Leipzig in December 2023, the 33-year-old finished the 2024 MLS regular season with nine goals and five assists.

He’s since taken this tally to 10 goals and six assists during the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs.

Indeed, it was Emil Forsberg’s clutch penalty on 80 minutes against Columbus Crew in Round One (game two) that put Red Bulls on the brink of advancing (2-1).

Although Christian Ramirez scored a dramatic equaliser for Columbus Crew deep into second-half stoppage time (2-2) – a goal that forced the game into a penalty shootout – Forsberg held his composure yet again under immense pressure.

Calmly converting his spot kick during the shootout, Forsberg played a pivotal role in securing Red Bulls’ advancement.

He showcased his reliability and ice-cold precision when it matters most.

This composure under pressure has been a hallmark of Forsberg’s debut season.

And this certainly makes him a crucial player to watch in this Eastern Conference Final.

During Emil Forsberg’s time in North America, Sandro Schwarz has utilised the four-time Swedish Midfielder of the Year in multiple roles.

Most recently, Forsberg has been deployed as the number 10 in a 3-4-1-2 setup.

This has followed spells as the central playmaker in a 4-2-3-1 formation and the left winger in a 4-4-2 system.

Besides Emil Forsberg, Lewis Morgan is another huge threat in the opposition ranks.

Sidelined for nearly all of 2023 due to a hip injury, the 27-year-old Scottish international has had a stellar comeback season in 2024.

Morgan has been making up for lost time, tallying 13 goals and seven assists in the regular season.

He’s since added two more assists during the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs.

His impressive form has also earned him several recalls to Steve Clarke’s Scotland national team, alongside Vancouver Whitecaps’ Ryan Gauld.

Both attackers been standout players in Major League Soccer this season.

Now wearing number #9 for Red Bulls, Morgan scored a hat-trick against former side Inter Miami (4-0) back in March.

Nowadays, Sandro Schwarz deploys Morgan as the main striker or in a support striker role.

This is a shift from his earlier days when he played primarily as a left winger.

Last but not least, I think John Tolkin is a top player as well.

Having won four caps for the USMNT, I believe the 22-year-old left back will eventually earn a transfer to Europe.

Much like Matt Miazga, Tyler Adams, and Kyle Duncan before him.

A Chatham, New Jersey native, John Tolkin embodies what it means to be a Red Bulls player.

Especially with his passion and unwavering commitment to the team.

Known for his exuberant bleach blonde hairstyle, Tolkin is a versatile and tactical asset to the squad.

His ability to overlap from left back makes him a constant threat going forward, while he remains solid defensively.

Tolkin’s technical quality is also evident in set-piece situations.

Scoring the decisive goal in Orlando City SC’s 1-0 defeat at Red Bull Arena on June 1, Tolkin’s free-kick caught Pedro Gallese off guard.

This highlights his ability to make an impact off set pieces with his trusty left foot.

As a rising star in MLS, Tolkin’s mix of skill, heart, and intelligence make him a dangerous opponent.

Injuries, fines, and suspensions

Heading into this game, Mason Stajduhar (right lower leg) is definitely out for the Lions.

But every other member of Oscar Pareja’s 2024 Orlando City SC roster is fit and ready to contribute.

Thankfully, City have no players suspended ahead of our first-ever Eastern Conference Semi-Final.

But we did just pick up some hefty fines!

Last Sunday, the MLS Disciplinary Committee found both Atlanta United and Orlando City SC guilty of violating the league’s Mass Confrontation Policy.

For Orlando City SC, this marks our third violation this season, resulting in undisclosed fines for the club and Oscar Pareja.

Pedro Gallese, César Araújo, Wilder Cartagena, and Martín Ojeda have also been fined for their roles in inciting and/or escalating the incident.

As for New York Red Bulls, they don’t have any players suspended.

But injury-wise, Kyle Duncan (knee), Roald Mitchell (knee), and Cory Burke (illness) are all definitely out for Sandro Schwarz’s side.

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls

Last 3 head-to-heads

  • June 3, 2023: New York Red Bulls 0 Orlando City SC 3 (MLS)
  • March 30, 2024: Orlando City SC 1 New York Red Bulls 1 (MLS)
  • June 1, 2024: New York Red Bulls 1 Orlando City SC 0 (MLS)

2015/24 head-to-head stats

  • It was 1-0 to Red Bulls the last time the sides met (June 2024)
  • Played Red Bulls 21 times in MLS – Orlando 8, Draws 3, Red Bulls 10
  • Across all competitions, Orlando have gone 5-2-4 against Red Bulls with Oscar Pareja as head coach
  • In MLS Cup Playoffs history, Orlando have a 4-4 (W-L) record since 2020*^^
  • In MLS Cup Playoffs history, Red Bulls have a 12-24 (W-L) record since 1996**†

Key

* Orlando City SC’s MLS Cup Playoffs Best-of-3 series triumph over Nashville SC (2023) has been counted as one win

^^ Orlando City SC’s MLS Cup Playoffs Best-of-3 series triumph over Charlotte FC (2024) has been counted as one win

** All of New York/New Jersey MetroStars’ (now New York Red Bulls’) two or three-legged MLS Cup Playoffs defeats since 1996 have been counted as one loss each

† New York Red Bulls’ MLS Cup Playoffs Best-of-3 series triumph over Columbus Crew (2024) has been counted as one win

Watching the game

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls will be shown live on Apple TV at 00:30 (GMT) on Saturday, November 30.

Remember, UK supporters can watch this game and all of Orlando City SC’s fixtures in the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs by subscribing to Apple TV’s “MLS Season Pass”.

Subscribe now by clicking here.

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Passionate about what we do, Orlando City UK content will always be free. The most important thing for us is sharing our love of Orlando City SC with you all and donations are by no means expected. However, if you enjoy our content, a token towards the regular maintenance of Orlando City UK is hugely appreciated!

What is YOUR score prediction for Orlando City SC’s FIRST-EVER Eastern Conference Final against New York Red Bulls in the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs?

Comment below or tweet us at @Orlando_CityUK to let us know!

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